COVID–19 in Italia: una Percezione Amplificata del Rischio? [COVID-19 in Italy: an amplified risk perception?]
Affiliation: Independent Researcher, PhD in Mechanical Engineering, MD in Disciplines of Jazz and Improvisation (Jazz Piano), Battipaglia (SA), Italy
Keywords: COVID–19, Italia, Tasso di Letalità, Comorbilità, Lockdown, Lombardia [COVID-19, Italy, Case Fatality Rate, Comorbidities, Lockdown, Lombardy.]
In Italy, the perception of the risks related to COVID-19 may be considerably amplified. In this brief report we initially propose a realistic value for the Case Fatality Rate of COVID-19, obtained by taking into account hidden deaths and infections. Subsequently, the CFR is modified by considering age and comorbidities. In order to concretely weigh up the risks related to COVID-19, we also derive the CFR for smoking, road and domestic accident. A short section is dedicated to the Lombardy anomalous scenario.